Today's Report (22/07/2021)

In the week ending July 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 419,000, an increase of 51,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 8,000 from 360,000 to 368,000. The 4-week moving average was 385,250, an increase of 750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 2,000 from 382,500 to 384,500.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.4 percent for the week ending July 10, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending July 10 was 3,236,000, a decrease of 29,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for insured unemployment since March 21, 2020 when it was 3,094,000. The previous week's level was revised up 24,000 from 3,241,000 to 3,265,000.

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What Is It?

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises people filing for the first time, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits.

What Is The Fundamental Effect?

An increasing or decreasing trend suggests a deteriorating or an improving labor market. The lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market. Generally, numbers standing above 400,000 for several weeks could suggest a danger of falling into a recession.

What Effect Does It Have On The Market? 

CURRENCY - A steady climb in initial claims, might turn foreign investors away from US securities, which can weaken the Dollar’s value in foreign exchange markets.

STOCKS - Stocks tend to fare badly when there is an increase in claims. However, such a report has the potential to lower interest rates, which is normally positive for stocks.

BONDS - The higher the figure, the more bullish news it is to Bond investor's ears. A rise points to a weaker economy and diminishing inflation pressures. A continuous drop in claims hints at a sturdier economic climate ahead. More inflation leads to lower bond prices and rising yields.